VOI World/ Desk
India’s Central Asia Outreach faces a crucial test as Indian PM Modi undertakes a four-day visit to the region, seeking to strengthen ties with key Central Asian states while expanding India’s role in a region where China has built a substantial economic presence.
The visit comes as New Delhi seeks to revive momentum with Central Asia after the India-Central Asia Summit has not met since 2022. PM Modi’s engagements are expected to cover the upcoming BRICS Summit, India’s forthcoming two-year term on the UN Security Council and preparations for the long-pending India-Central Asia Summit.
A key challenge will be rebuilding India’s connectivity and strategic engagement in the region. Although bilateral trade between India and Central Asia has grown from around $500 million in 2010 to more than $2 billion in 2025, connectivity prospects have been affected by geopolitical shifts. At the same time, China’s Belt and Road Initiative has expanded its economic footprint, with China-Central Asia trade reaching about $106 billion in 2025.
India’s Central Asia Outreach is therefore expected to combine regional engagement with stronger bilateral ties. Experts cited in the analysis argue that India may not match China or Russia in investment and influence but retains significant economic interests and soft-power advantages in areas such as trade, education and information technology.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Bishkek will also provide PM Modi an opportunity to meet Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian for the first time since the US-Iran war began. Discussions could include India’s concerns over the Strait of Hormuz and regional stability.
Another diplomatic challenge is Tajikistan’s support for an Asian bloc candidate in the 2027 UN Security Council election. New Delhi is expected to seek Tajik support while discussing the issue with President Emomali Rahmon and other Central Asian leaders.
The visit could ultimately help India set a date for the delayed India-Central Asia Summit and demonstrate that New Delhi remains committed to deeper engagement with the region.
